BRAEDEN ANDERSON
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We provide authoritative analysis on securities and commodities regulation, SEC and FINRA enforcement, and legal developments affecting crypto, digital assets, fintech, and financial services, authored by Braeden Anderson.
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Arizona v. Kalshi: Criminal Enforcement and the Next Phase of the Prediction Market Reckoning
Arizona’s criminal charges against Kalshi mark a turning point in the regulation of prediction markets, escalating the conflict between federal commodities law and state gambling regimes. This article examines the legal and structural implications of the case, including preemption, CFTC authority, and the growing tension between derivatives markets and sportsbook regulation. As prediction markets continue to expand, this enforcement action may shape the future of event-based trading in the United States.
Prediction Markets, Insider Trading, and the Return of First Principles
This piece analyzes the CFTC’s advisory confirming that prediction markets are regulated derivatives subject to anti-fraud and manipulation rules. Braeden Anderson explains how insider trading doctrines apply to event contracts and what this means for exchanges, fintech platforms, and sophisticated traders operating in evolving markets.
CFTC Chair Selig Signals New Strength on Prediction Markets After Industry Commentary Calls for Backbone
Backbone confirmed. In a development that underscores the accelerating evolution of financial innovation policy, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael S. Selig has publicly articulated a significant shift in the agency’s posture on prediction markets — just days after my commentary highlighted expectations for decisive leadership.